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Global Affairs Session 66 15 July 2026 DEADLY PHASE 2026-30 Polycrisis has arrived Multiple threat factors and crises have now come together to build a Polycrisis of huge proportions. The world will live through this now for 2026-30, at least.

Global Affairs Session 65 13 July 2026 DONALD TRUMP AND THE PENROSE STAIRS Trapped in the Iran–Israel tangle Donald Trump’s Iran predicament resembles Penrose stairs: every military strike, sanction, negotiation and ceasefire appears to move him towards victory, yet returns him to the same landing. Israel’s security demands pull Washington deeper, while Iran’s nuclear leverage and grip on Hormuz raise the cost of withdrawal.

Global Affairs Session 22 24 April 2026 THE GULF STATES: BETWEEN DEVIL AND THE DEEP SEA How prosperity, geography and security dependence expose the Gulf during a regional crisis The Gulf states convert energy wealth into high living standards, modern infrastructure and global influence. Yet the same geography that makes the region strategically valuable also exposes it to disruption at the Strait of Hormuz, military escalation, supply-chain shocks and dependence on external security guarantees.