knowledgesm

Global Affairs Session 28 4 May 2026 THE THUCYDIDES TRAP Rising powers, ruling powers and the danger of war The Thucydides Trap describes the structural danger that emerges when a rising power challenges an established power. Historical transitions show that war is possible but not inevitable: fear, pride, alliances and miscalculation raise the risk, while communication, restraint and workable rules can reduce it.